Price and performanceHow Bitcoin has moved: returns, drawdowns and volatility.
Price history, distance from the all-time high, 30, 60 and 180-day volatility, days since a given fall or rise, running return, returns by purchase month, quarter and year.
Cycle measuresWhere models fitted to Bitcoin's own past place the market, with their limits stated.
Composite risk score, 200-week moving-average heatmap, 2-year MA multiplier, Pi Cycle Top, golden-ratio multiplier, rainbow chart, bull-market support band, power trend line, past cycles’ peak and bottom returns. Several share the same price inputs; they are not independent evidence.
On-chain activityWhat the network data shows: activity, supply and holder measures.
MVRV Z-score, short- and long-term-holder MVRV, thermocap, hash price, supply and address counts by wallet size (addresses, not people), realised profit and loss, valuation models, network and miner health.
Macro contextThe wider backdrop: US macro series and supported market-structure measures.
US macroeconomic series as context for the price; market-structure measures including the spot ETFs. Co-movement is shown as such, not as cause.
SentimentTwo published sentiment series, each against price.
A published crypto fear-and-greed index and web search interest.